McAdam — MLB Notebook: Crunching the numbers on Red Sox's longshot playoff chances

After losing the Washington Nationals Thursday to drop the first series of a 10-game road trip, the Red Sox have 63 wins in 121 games, with 41 — one-quarter of the schedule — remaining. Following Thursday's action, the Red Sox's odds of qualifying for the playoffs were just 6.9 percent. Meanwhile, the Toronto Blue Jays, who sat three and a half games ahead of them in the standings — and just three games ahead in the loss column — had far better odds at 69.2 percent. The Sox have dipped 24.7 percent, a reminder of how much their poor West Coast road trip (2-4) and the subsequent sweep at home by Toronto hurt their chances.

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